Almost 3 Million Noncitizens Could Vote Illegally in U.S. Election, Study Says

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Around 10% to 27% of noncitizens living in the United States are illicitly registered to vote, which could see up to 2.7 million illegal votes being cast in the November presidential election.

The significant amount of potential illegal votes could be enough to help Democrats repeat 2020.

According to a study from the research institute Just Facts, the 2022 U.S. census recorded approximately 19 million adult noncitizens.

“Given their voter registration rates, this means that about 2 million to 5 million of them are illegally registered to vote,” the report observes.

“These figures are potentially high enough to overturn the will of the American people in major elections, including congressional seats and the presidency.”

James Agresti, president of Just Facts, discussed the scope of noncitizens casting ballots ad its implications.

“[T]here are very broad openings for noncitizens to vote,” he explained.

“In no state in the nation are they required to provide proof of U.S. citizenship in order to register to vote. Now, a couple of states like Arizona tried to enact that requirement, but they were blocked by a court ruling supported by the Obama administration,” he added.

“And if you look at the federal voter-registration form, it says you can submit all different forms of ID to register.”

“That could be a Social Security number; it could be a driver’s license number; or it could just be a utility bill.”

“I mean, these are things that anyone can get by living here. They do not prove you’re a U.S. citizen.”

“And more than that, a lot of noncitizens have faked Social Security numbers, especially illegal immigrants. That’s what they do to work.”

“A recent estimate by the Social Security Administration tallied 2.5 million noncitizens who had Social Security numbers gained by using fake birth certificates or stealing those numbers from somebody else.”

The Daily Signal reported that Hans von Spakovsky, a senior legal fellow at The Heritage Foundation and board member of the Public Interest Legal Foundation, concurred. (Heritage founded The Daily Signal in 2014.)

“[T]he problem is, states aren’t doing very much to verify citizenship, so it’s extremely easy for someone who’s not a citizen to register to vote and to vote in elections,” he remarked during Monday’s edition of “Washington Watch.”

“And when that is discovered, oftentimes nothing is done about it.

Agresti went on to point out the effect that lax enforcement of citizen verification could have in November.

“[B]ased on the latest available data, approximately 1 million to 2.7 million noncitizens are going to vote in the upcoming presidential election unless something changes. And that is more than enough to tip the results of congressional races, Senate races, and yes, the U.S. presidency.”

Von Spakovsky echoed Agresti’s concerns.

“[I]t doesn’t matter whether they’re black or white, Asian or Hispanic. It doesn’t matter which political party they support. Every time an alien illegally votes, that alien is voiding, negating the vote of a citizen, no matter which political party they support,” he contended.
“And the Democrats just don’t seem to want to understand that or to basically ignore it.”

Agresti further reflected on the motivations behind the Democrats’ opposition to efforts to improve election integrity.

“[I] t’s always hard to read people’s minds, but I can tell you this: The vast bulk of these noncitizens are voting for Democrats.”

“According to the best data we have, about 80% of them will vote for Democrats when they vote illegally.”

“And Democrats are fighting tooth and nail to prevent any kind of checking of people’s citizenship. It does benefit them. Is that their reasoning? It’s an obvious incentive, but I can’t read their minds.”

Earlier this month, House Republicans attempted to address the issue by introducing a bill that would require proof of citizenship to register to vote and would remove noncitizens from existing voter rolls.

But Agresti expressed doubt about the bill’s chances of passage. “My guess is it will move in the House and die in the Senate, but that’s just an educated guess. And again, even if somehow it got through the Senate, there’s no way [President] Joe Biden’s signing that bill.”

“However,” he added, “I do think in the aftermath of the election, and we hate to have a repeat of 2020, that there should be some accountability, some lawsuits that demand proof that people are who they say they are in tight races. None of that was secured in the last round of election lawsuits, and it needs to be there.”

Agresti concluded by urging candidates involved in tight elections to demand verification that only citizens voted.

“A candidate has to make a plea and say, ‘Hey, I want this data to prove that these people who are registered and voted actually are citizens.'”

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